Here is where everyone stands going into the weekend.  Games and RPI through Thursday's action.

ACC_________________________________________________
Miami falls out of the tracker, but they have a chance to jump back if they string together a few wins in a row.  It may be just six out of this conference, as Virginia Tech and Maryland have stumbled.
Locks 
North Carolina, Duke, Wake Forest, Clemson, Florida State
Near Locks
None
Bubble
Boston College (19-8; 7-5) RPI 50
Case For: ACC record, win at North Carolina, vs. Duke
Case Against: Loss at St. Louis, loss vs. Harvard, RPI isn’t great
Analysis:  The Eagles beat Duke to add a second marquee W to the resume, essentially wiping the negatives off the table (Harvard and St. Louis).  It also gives them a cushion to go 8-8 in the conference and get a bid.  They might want to get two more league wins to feel safe, but they are safely in at this point.
Virginia Tech (16-9; 6-5) RPI 55
Case For: Acc record, Win at Wake Forest
Case Against: No good nonconference wins
Analysis: The Hokies lost at Virginia and now tumble towards the cut line and perhaps out of the imaginary field.  The next five are all against top-20 RPI teams, so they will have to earn a .500 or better ACC record with good wins. 8-8 might do it, only because two of those wins would be of the marquee variety.  The one giant help is that nobody else has won at Wake – that is their best card to play right now.
Maryland (16-8; 5-6) RPI 63
Case For: Win vs. Michigan State
Case Against: RPI, home loss to Morgan State
Analysis: The Terps got crushed at Clemson in a statement game: they made the statement that they’re not a tournament team, although they do have a chance to work their way in with the upcoming schedule.  The closing stretch is difficult, but they get three huge chances at home with UNC, Duke and Wake Forest coming to College Park.  8-8 is probably not enough with this profile, unless two big upsets are involved.
Treading Water
Miami (14-10; 4-8) RPI 49

Atlantic 10__________________________________________________________
Temple is threatening to make it three from the A-10/A-14. 
Locks
Xavier, Dayton
Near Locks
None
Bubble
Temple (16-9; 8-3) RPI 34
Case For: RPI, win vs. Tennessee
Case Against: Losses to Long Beach State, UMass
Analysis: The Owls have an inflated RPI, and an easy slate coming up.  The Tennessee shellacking is good, but the Vols are not the top-15 team they were when the win occurred.  The schedule invites a path near the top of the A-10 standings, which should help.  But is the survival of a tough nonconference schedule worth a bid?  There is nothing special in league play yet, but they do travel to Dayton later in the month.   Since nobody around them is standing out, Temple is certainly in the mix.
Treading Water
Rhode Island (18-8; 7-4) RPI 63

Big East_________________________________________________
West Virginia is locked up due to their computer numbers and manageable upcoming slate.
Locks
Connecticut, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Marquette, Villanova, West Virginia
Near Locks
Syracuse (18-7; 7-6) RPI 17
Analysis:  Syracuse won a thriller over Georgetown that could have sent them tumbling towards the cut line.  Their best conference win is still against West Virginia.  Let’s face it – they may have peaked too early, but the nonconference work is enough to overcome a .500 league record.
Bubble
Georgetown (14-10; 5-8) RPI 39
Case For: Win at UConn
Case Against: Big East record, swept by Cincinnati
Analysis:  A blowout win over South Florida is a step in the right direction, although there is a lot of work to be done.  There is no way to sugar coat it: the Hoyas are in deep trouble, and their RPI has slipped badly.  Getting swept by fellow bubbler Cincinnati may be fatal.  At 5-8 in the conference, they are running out of time.  The best strength of schedule in the world won’t help if they keep losing.  9-9 is what they need, and while possible, would require upsets of at least two top-25 teams.  They are pretty far on the outside looking in.
Cincinnati (16-8; 7-6) RPI 48
Case For: Win at UNLV, vs. UAB, swept Georgetown
Case Against: Swept by Providence.
Analysis:  The Bearcats lost at Pittsburgh, which was predictable.  They have tiebreaking wins over fellow bubblers, but the Providence sweep may come back to bite them.  They need to stay above .500 in conference to look better amongst the bubble grouping, but at least they have a legitimate stake over Georgetown.  Both conference and non-conference performances are average.  10-8 is needed, and is in reach.  An upset over Louisville would be nice.
Providence (16-10; 8-6) RPI 67
Case For: Big East record, Cincinnati sweep, win over Syracuse
Case Against: RPI, No other good wins
Analysis: The Friars played valiantly at Louisville but came up short of the marquee win they needed to push them over the top.  They have an impressive 8-6 league mark, but most of their damage has come at the expense of the league’s weaklings.  What does a Providence 10-8 Big East record look like compared to a West Virginia 9-9 mark?  They need to beat Pittsburgh or Villanova to get some momentum behind their case. 
Treading Water
None

Big 12______________________________________________________
Locks
Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri
Near Locks
None
Bubble
Texas (17-8; 6-5) RPI 47
Case For: Wins vs. UCLA, Villanova, at Wisconsin
Case Against: RPI is a little low, no great conference wins
Analysis: The Longhorns dropped another conference game at Texas A&M and should be starting to sweat. The nonconference wins are very good, but the computer numbers aren’t great.  They would be in if the selection was today, but they need to avoid a sub-.500 league record.  Three of the last five are at home.
Kansas State (16-8; 6-5) RPI 81
Case For: Wins vs. Missouri, at Texas
Case Against:  RPI, very weak nonconference schedule and performance
Analysis:  The Wildcats lost a golden opportunity at home against Kansas, which happened to be their second to last shot at a top-25 team.   They are in the neighborhood, but the RPI needs major work.  10-6 does the trick, but perhaps only if they can knock off Missouri in the process.  The resume needs some help, and they may need to look towards the conference tournament for some more good wins.
Nebraska (16-8; 6-5) RPI 64
Case For: Wins over Missouri, vs. Texas
Case Against: RPI, loss to UMBC
Analysis:  The Cornhuskers got the win they needed over Colorado, although it was ugly.  They need one more upset to help a resume that lacks any nonconference help besides a win over surging Creighton, and their one final chance before the Big 12 tournament at that is a trip to Kansas.  9-7 would get them a look, but it wont put them over the top.
Oklahoma State (16-9; 5-6) RPI 33
Case For: RPI
Case Against: How did they get this RPI?
Analysis:  The Cowboys scratched together two league wins to jump onto the bubble.  Their best nonconference work were wins vs. Siena and Rhode Island, and their best win in the conference is at Nebraska.  Hard to see how the computer numbers are so good, so the Pokes need to post at least a 9-7 in conference and maybe do some damage in the conference tournament.
Treading Water
Baylor (15-9; 4-7) RPI 54; Texas A&M (17-8; 4-7) RPI 45 

Big Ten__________________________________________________________
It was a good week for Wisconsin, Michigan and Penn State, all of whom have an at-large in their sights. Eight bids is within reason considering how weak the rest of the bubble is.
Locks
Michigan State, Purdue, Illinois
Near Locks
Ohio State (17-7; 7-6) RPI 36
Analysis: The Buckeyes have good nonconference wins over Butler, Notre Dame and Miami – if this was a month ago.  As it stands, the Buckeyes did enough out of conference to withstand their current swoon.  Three of the last five are at home, and a 10-8 mark will send them dancing.
Bubble
Minnesota (18-7; 7-7) RPI 35
Case For: Wins vs. Louisville, Illinois, at Wisconsin
Case Against: Lost six of nine
Analysis:  A loss at Michigan caused the fading Gophers to continue their slide.  The computer numbers are falling badly, but they own enough good wins in the conference to merit a bid right now.  If they continue to slip, they could be inviting trouble.
Michigan (16-10; 7-7) RPI 53
Case For: Wins vs. Duke, UCLA, Illinois
Case Against: Overall record, conference record
Analysis:  The Wolverines seemed determined to squander their great nonconference performance, but now they are back in the mix. A .500 conference mark might be enough, as their great nonconference wins give them a bit of an edge over fellow bubblers.  8-10 in this league would likely send them to the NIT.  The Wolverines may have played themselves back into the imaginary field.
Wisconsin (16-9; 8-6) RPI 30
Case For: RPI, win at Virginia Tech, vs. Illinois
Case Against: Six game midseason losing streak
Analysis:  The Badgers have resurrected their season at 8-6 in the conference.  The RPI is very good, and they have enough good nonconference wins to merit a bid.  Bubble-wise, they own a sweep of Penn State and a win at Michigan, which may put them at the top of the Big Ten bubble pecking order.
Penn State (19-8; 8-6) RPI 58
Case For: wins at Michigan State, vs. Purdue, at Illinois
Case Against: RPI, nonconference wins lacking
Analysis: The Nittany Lions got a gigantic win at Illinois to move to the good side of the bubble.  They need the marquee wins and a good (10-8 or better) Big Ten mark to make the dance.  Will their soft nonconference schedule hurt them?  It has hit their RPI pretty hard, but the conference work has more than made up for it.
Treading Water
None 

Conference USA_________________________________
Locks
Memphis
Near Locks
None
Bubble
UAB (18-8: 8-3) RPI 39
Case For: RPI, win vs. Arizona
Case Against: No marquee conference wins
Analysis:  The Blazers have the computer numbers to get a good look, but may need a win over Memphis to put them over the top.  There are no bad losses on the slate, as all have come against the top 100 RPI.  If they beat Memphis and run the table in the regular season, CUSA might send two teams dancing.
Treading Water
Tulsa (17-9; 7-4) RPI 71

MVC_________________________________________________
The conference is trending seriously up, even with Northern Iowa dropping out of consideration altogether.
Bubble
Creighton (22-6; 12-4) RPI 56
Case For:  Wins vs. New Mexico, Dayton
Case Against:  Two sub-100 losses
Analysis: The Blue Jays have ripped through seven straight to emerge as a true at-large threat, which didn’t look possible three weeks ago in the MVC.  Running the table should get them a bid, even though it would involve two tough wins over Illinois State and George Mason.  The RPI should go up if they keep winning, and if that happens it’s hard to see a MVC team with 25+ wins getting snubbed.  With the major conference teams stumbling towards the finish line, we think Creighton is just as deserving of an at-large as teams like Providence and UNLV.
Illinois State (22-5; 11-5) RPI 59
Case For:  Overall record, blowout win over Creighton
Case Against: Swept by Indiana State
Analysis:  The Redbirds return to the Tracker, and have a real opportunity coming up to seriously throw their name into the at-large discussion.  Wins at Niagara, vs. Northern Iowa and at Creighton could net them a share of the MVC crown and vault them over the Jays in the pecking order.  Hopefully the soft nonconference schedule wont hurt them too much, but the RPI would jump significantly if they can somehow grab the next three games.
Treading Water
None

Pac-10__________________________________________________
USC is in deep trouble, while Arizona has surged to near-lock status.  Five looks like a good bet, with six at most.
Locks
UCLA, Washington, Arizona State, California
Near Locks
None
Bubble
Arizona (18-8; 8-5) RPI 43
Case For: Good wins vs. Washington, Arizona State, Gonzaga, Kansas
Case Against: No bad losses – so maybe early losing skid?
Analysis:  Arizona has moved pretty solidly into the imaginary field after winning seven straight.  They have the nonconference wins, and now the conference performance, to merit inclusion.  The next three are on the road, and grabbing at least one is important to keep the momentum going in their favor.  10-8 will get them in.
USC (15-9; 6-6) RPI 44
Case For: Wins vs. Arizona St., vs. Cal
Case Against: Need a few more good wins
Analysis:  The Trojans are in trouble after losing three straight.  They would not make the cut if the selection were today.  They have slipped to sixth in the Pac-10 pecking order but ending the season with homies against the two Oregon schools helps immensely.  There isn’t anything impressive in the nonconference slate.
Treading Water
None

Mountain West__________________________________________
Utah is locked up by virtue of a high RPI and as the leader of the conference. 
Locks
Utah
Near Locks
None
Bubble
BYU (19-5; 8-3) RPI 31
Case For: Win over Utah State, 7-5 vs. Top-100
Case Against: Might not win MWC title
Analysis: The Cougars would likely be in the field if it were selected today, but the upcoming schedule is brutal.  They have a good win over Utah State, but the rest of the profile is just pretty good.  They need the Utah game to give them a second top-25 RPI win.  The next four will determine their fate.
UNLV (19-7; 7-5) RPI 57
Case For: Wins vs. Arizona, vs. Utah, at Louisville
Case Against:  Losses at TCU, at Colorado State
Analysis:  UNLV is setup for the crucial stretch run, with games remaining vs. BYU, at Utah and at SDSU.  The nonconference wins are great, but taking care of business in a pretty good league is their safest bet for a bid.  Two of three vs. BYU, at Utah and at SDSU should do it.  9-7 in the league will put them in serious trouble.  Right now they are probably outside of the cut line, but with a chance to jump right back into the field.
San Diego State (16-6; 8-3) RPI 46
Case For: T-Second place in MWC, win vs. Utah, at UNLV
Case Against: Nonconference wins are lacking
Analysis: The Aztecs are showing strong in the MWC, which is enormously helpful.  There is nothing in the nonconference performance that will help them, so MWC play is crucial. 11-5 in the MWC will probably do the trick, but they may also need to complete the sweep of UNLV.  With three of the last five at home, everything is there for the Aztec’s taking.  Too bad nothing in the nonconference slate is helpful.
Treading Water
New Mexico (16-10; 7-4) RPI 74

SEC____________________________________________________
LSU is safely in, but the rest of the league is a mess.  Luckily, everyone plays each other down the stretch to sort things out.   
Locks
LSU
Near Locks
Tennessee (16-9; 7-4) RPI 22
Analysis:  The Vols own one of the toughest schedules in the country, but have lost a number of games to good teams.  The computer numbers are there, but the league losses are piling up in a not-so-great conference.  They will be tested in their last five SEC games, so they need to avoid any semblance of a collapse.
Bubble
Florida (20-6; 7-4) RPI 44
Case For: Overall record, win vs. Washington
Case Against: RPI, loss to Georgia
Analysis:  The Gators are barely on the good side of the bubble, but with a chance to solidify a bid down the stretch.  Either that or fall off the face of the earth.  The nonconference resume is OK with a win vs. Washington, but they need to avoid falling in the East standings.  They have shots at home vs. Kentucky and Tennessee to shore up the resume.  They need the next two at home to be set up for the stretch run.
South Carolina (18-6; 7-4) RPI 46
Case For: Wins at Kentucky, vs. Florida
Case Against: Loss at Charleston
Analysis:  The Gamecocks are in decent shape, as their RPI has risen to an acceptable level.  They own wins over Florida and fellow bubbler Kentucky with chance for a sweep over the Wildcats later in the month.  SEC play is all they have, as there is nothing helpful in the nonconference department.  Two home wins over Kentucky and Tennessee could send them dancing, but they should aim for at least 11-5 to feel safe.
Kentucky (18-8; 7-4) RPI 65
Case For:  Wins vs. Florida, WVU, at Tennessee
Case Against: RPI, loss to VMI
Analysis:  Kentucky lost at Vanderbilt to throw their at-large hopes into limbo.  Eight of their wins are against sub-200 RPI teams.  The RPI is low, but at least there are no bad losses outside of Big South leader VMI.  The schedule gets much tougher down the stretch, and the Wildcats face each of the other four tourney contenders in the conference.
Mississippi State (16-9; 7-4) RPI 78
Case For: Win at Kentucky, vs. South Carolina
Case Against: Four sub-RPI 100 losses
Analysis:  The Bulldogs deserve another look after beating South Carolina.  They need the games at Tennessee and vs. Florida to really have a shot, and need an RPI boost.  Although tough, posting an 11-5 in conference could get them a shot at a bid.
Treading Water
Auburn (16-9; 6-5) RPI 86
West Coast_________________________________________________
St. Mary’s is on life support, and needs a win over Utah State to stay in the Tracker.
Locks
Gonzaga
Near Locks
None
Bubble
St. Mary’s (18-5; 7-4) RPI 62
Case For: Wins vs. Providence, vs. San Diego State
Case Against: No Patty Mills, weak schedule
Analysis:  The Mills injury has been devastating, and his supporting cast barely held the fort down.  A home shot vs. Utah State could grant them a temporary reprieve, and outside of the automatic bid may be their best shot to get back in the mix.  As it stands they are probably on the outside looking in.
Treading Water
None

Others_________________________________________________________
Teams need at least an RPI in the top 100 to be considered here.  Past history shows that teams below that threshold won’t get a decent look, fair or not.  The Davidson-Butler matchup takes on more importance after both teams suffered damaging losses.  Davidson needs it more.  Outside of Butler, only Utah State could survive a Bracket Busters loss and stay on the good side of the bubble.
Locks
None
Near Locks
Butler (22-4; 13-3 Horizon) RPI 28
Analysis: Two bad losses send the Bulldogs out of lock territory.  It would take a complete collapse (losing to Davidson and two more Horizon losses) to keep them out, and hopefully this young team isn’t hitting a wall.  As long as they take care of the ball, they will be fine.
Utah State (24-2; 12-1) RPI 34
Analysis:  The Boise State loss sent the Aggies down a peg, but they are fairly safely in at this point in the 9-11 seed range.  A win at St. Mary’s, while tough, should get them back in as a lock.  We just hope another loss doesn’t leave things up to chance with the committee, who has historically given teams like Utah State the shaft.
Bubble
Davidson (21-5; 15-2 SoCon) RPI 56
Case For: Win over West Virginia
Case Against: RPI, two SoCon losses
Analysis:  The Steph Curry injury led to blowout home loss the The Citadel.  A loss to Butler could send the Wildcats scrambling for the automatic bid.  Can they get a pass for the Citadel game because Curry was out?  Probably not given the lopsided score.  The best thing they have going for them is Stephen Curry, and the committee will no doubt take his star power into account.
Siena (21-6; 15-1 MAAC) RPI 30
Case For: Wins at St Joe’s and vs. Buffalo; RPI
Case Against: Missed Opportunities may haunt them
Analysis:  The Saints have a great RPI, and have ripped through a good MAAC. They should get credit for scheduling tough games, even if they didn’t get any good wins out of them.  They are looking decent right now, and should get an honest look with their computer numbers.  Hopefully last year’s tourney win over Vanderbilt still resonates.
Treading Water
Niagara (21-7; 12-4 MAAC) RPI 67; Wisconsin-Green Bay (19-7; 12-4 Horizon) RPI 73; Western Kentucky (16-8; 11-3 Sun Belt) RPI 70; VCU (18-8; 12-4 CAA) RPI 66