Here it is - the first Bubble projection of the 2009-2010 season, which coincidentally will also be our worst bubble projection of the 2009-2010 season. Picks are made based on if the selection were today, so that means plenty of things can and will change as the season goes on. Locks today could disappear off the list completely, based on performance.
Please note that the Others section will only contain teams that are in the RPI top-100, as history shows that being in the top-100 is the only chance that non-major schools have at receiving an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament.
ACC
Locks: 
Near Locks: Clemson (10-2, RPI 43)
Bubble: North Carolina (8-3, RPI 59); Georgia Tech (8-2, RPI 85); Wake Forest (8-2, RPI 48); NC State (8-2, RPI 45); Virginia Tech (9-1, RPI 50); Miami (10-1, RPI 75)
Treading Water: Boston College (7-4, RPI 118); Maryland (5-3, RPI 63)
Atlantic 10
Locks: 
Near Locks: Richmond (8-3, RPI 21)
Bubble: Dayton (9-2, RPI 31); Rhode Island (9-1, RPI 24); Charlotte (9-1, RPI 74); Xavier (6-4, RPI 41)
Treading Water: George Washington (7-2, RPI 122); Duquesne (7-4, RPI 71); LaSalle (7-4, RPI 87)
Big East
Locks: 
Near Locks: St. John’s (9-1, RPI 5)
Bubble: Pittsburgh (9-2, RPI 39); Louisville (7-3, RPI 71); Seton Hall (8-1, RPI 72); Cincinnati (7-3, RPI 77)
Treading Water: Marquette (8-3, RPI 93); South Florida (10-2, RPI 106); Notre Dame (10-2, RPI 105)
Big Ten
Locks: 
Near Locks: Michigan State (9-2, RPI 65); Wisconsin (8-2, RPI 28)
Bubble: Northwestern (9-1, RPI 51); Ohio State (9-2, RPI 76); Minnesota (8-3, RPI 67); Illinois (8-3, RPI 118)
Treading Water: None
Big 12
Locks: 
Near Locks: Texas Tech (9-1, RPI 36); Texas A&M (8-2, RPI 18); Oklahoma State (10-1, RPI 33)
Bubble: Baylor (8-1, RPI 104)
Treading Water: Iowa State (8-3, RPI 122); Oklahoma (8-4, RPI 114)
Conference USA
Locks: None
Near Locks: None
Bubble: Southern Miss (4-1, RPI 4); UAB (10-1, RPI 37); Tulsa (8-1, RPI 49);
Treading Water: Marshall (7-1, RPI 87); Memphis (7-2, RPI 112)
Missouri Valley
Locks: None
Near Locks: Missouri State (10-0, RPI 29)
Bubble: Northern Iowa (9-1, RPI 37); Indiana State (6-3, RPI 58); Wichita State (10-0, RPI 92)
Treading Water: Illinois State (8-2, RPI 138)
Mountain West
Locks: 
Near Locks: UNLV (9-1, RPI 33)
Bubble: San Diego State (7-3, RPI 35); BYU (10-1; RPI 94)
Treading Water: Colorado State (7-3, RPI 100)
Pac 10
Locks: None
Near Locks: California (6-3, RPI 11); Washington (7-2, RPI 17)
Bubble: Washington State (8-2, RPI 86); Arizona State (8-3, RPI 110)
Treading Water: USC (5-4, RPI 137)
SEC
Locks: 
Near Locks: Florida (8-2, RPI 57); Mississippi (10-1; RPI 23); Tennessee (8-2, RPI 54)
Bubble: Mississippi State (9-2; RPI 46); LSU (8-2, RPI 69), Vanderbilt (6-3, RPI 55), South Carolina (7-3, RPI 61)
Treading Water: Georgia (5-4, RPI 74); Alabama (7-4, RPI 84)
West Coast
Locks: 
Near Locks: None
Bubble: St. Mary’s (8-1, RPI 26); Portland (6-4, RPI 59)
Treading Water: None
Others
Locks: None
Near Locks: Butler (8-3, RPI 22);
Bubble: William & Mary (6-2, RPI 13-CAA); Western Carolina (9-1, RPI 15-SoCon); Cornell (9-2, RPI 20-Ivy); VCU (7-2, RPI 17-CAA); Harvard (7-2, RPI 34-Ivy); Loyola (ILL) (7-2, RPI 46-Horizon); Old Dominion (7-4, RPI 55-CAA)
Treading Water: Siena (6-4, RPI 60-MAAC); IUPUI (7-3, RPI 53-MidCon); Austin Peay (5-5, RPI 50-OVC); Radford (3-3, RPI 65-Big South); Murray State (7-2, RPI 72-OVC); Coastal Carolina (7-2, RPI 76-Big South); Kent State (5-4, RPI 80-MAC); Northern Colorado (10-3, RPI 90-Big Sky); Wisconsin-Green Bay (8-3, RPI 100-Horizon)
