Look how orderly this is - unbelievable for this time of year. Only the ACC and Big East are complete clusterf__ks, with only one or two teams already out of the running for a bid. Also, the Pac 10 looks like a one-bid league and the A-10(14) can now count five very strong at-large candidates. Maybe there is a God, after all.
Tennessee is not locked up, even with the Kansas win, since they are still woefully undermanned, meaning their selection to the tourney might be iffy. Western Carolina nearly fell off the bubble with a sub-290 loss to Georgia Southern (ouch). UNC is locked up despite the loss to Charleston, they are simply rated too high in the polls to ignore.
ACC
Locks: 
Near Locks: Wake Forest (11-3, 1-1 RPI 31) Clemson (13-3, 1-1 RPI 33); Georgia Tech (12-3, 1-1 RPI 47)
Bubble: Florida State (13-3, 1-1 RPI 60); Virginia Tech (12-2, 0-1 RPI 71); Miami (14-1, 1-1 RPI 70); Maryland (9-4, 1-0 RPI 78);
Treading Water: None
Atlantic 10
Locks: 
Near Locks: Rhode Island (12-2, 0-1 RPI 8)
Bubble: Richmond (12-5, 1-1 RPI 26); Dayton (12-3, 1-0 RPI 29); Xavier (10-5, 2-0 RPI 22)
Treading Water: Charlotte (11-4, 1-0 RPI 90)
Big East
Locks: 
Near Locks: None
Bubble: Louisville (12-5, 3-1 RPI 39); Cincinnati (11-5, 2-2 RPI 57); Notre Dame (14-3, 3-1 RPI 52)
Treading Water: Providence (10-6, 2-2 RPI 76); South Florida (10-5, 0-3 RPI 84); Seton Hall (10-5, 1-3 RPI 89); St. John’s (10-5, 0-3 RPI 59); Marquette (10-6, 1-3 RPI 80)
Big Ten
Locks: 
Near Locks: None
Bubble: Minnesota (12-4, 3-1 RPI 43); Northwestern (12-3, 1-2 RPI 67); Illinois (11-5, 3-0 RPI 69)
Treading Water: Ohio State (11-5, 1-3 RPI 91)
Big 12
Locks: 
Near Locks: Oklahoma State (13-2, 1-0 RPI 24); Texas A&M (11-3, 1-0 RPI 35)
Bubble: Texas Tech (12-3, 0-1 RPI 37); Baylor (12-1, 1-0 RPI 38); Missouri (13-3, 1-0 RPI 56)
Treading Water: Nebraska (12-4, 0-1 RPI 98)
Conference USA
Locks: None
Near Locks: UAB (14-2, 2-0 RPI 27)
Bubble: Marshall (11-2, 2-0 RPI 46); Tulsa (11-3, 2-0 RPI 75);
Treading Water: Memphis (11-4, 1-0 RPI 102)
Missouri Valley
Locks: 
Near Locks: None
Bubble: Missouri State (13-3, 3-2 RPI 45); Wichita State (14-2, 4-1 RPI 62)
Treading Water: Illinois State (12-4, 3-2 RPI 94); Indiana State (10-5, 3-2 RPI 87)
Mountain West
Locks: 
Near Locks: UNLV (12-3, 1-1 RPI 30)
Bubble: San Diego State (10-4, 1-1 RPI 44)
Treading Water: Colorado State (10-5, 2-0 RPI 95)
Pac 10
Locks: None
Near Locks: None
Bubble: California (10-5, 2-1 RPI 32); Washington (10-5, 1-3 RPI 64); Washington State (11-4, 2-2 RPI 79)
Treading Water: Arizona (8-8, 2-2 RPI 72)
SEC
Locks: 
Near Locks: Tennessee (12-2, 0-0 RPI 21); Vanderbilt (11-3, 1-0 RPI 28)
Bubble: Florida (11-4, 0-1 RPI 83); Mississippi (12-3, 0-1 RPI 61); Mississippi State (13-3, 1-0 RPI 54); Alabama (11-4, 1-0 RPI 65); South Carolina (10-5, 1-0 RPI 73)
Treading Water: Georgia (8-6, 0-1 RPI 85)
West Coast
Locks: 
Near Locks: None
Bubble: St. Mary’s (14-2, 2-0 RPI 36)
Treading Water: Portland (8-6, 0-1 RPI 81)
Others
Locks: 
Near Locks: None
Bubble: Cornell (12-3, 0-0 RPI 34-Ivy); Harvard (11-3, 1-0 RPI 48-Ivy); Old Dominion (12-5, 4-1 RPI 40-CAA); Siena (13-4, 6-0 RPI 42-MAAC); Western Kentucky (9-5, 2-1 RPI 50-Sun Belt); Louisiana Tech (15-2, 3-0 RPI 74-WAC); Western Carolina (9-3, 2-1 RPI 53-SoCon)
Treading Water: VCU (10-4, 2-3 RPI 55-CAA); Western Michigan (8-5, 1-0 RPI 68-MAC); Kent State (9-5, 1-0 RPI 63-MAC); Murray State (11-3, 5-0 RPI 86-OVC); Kent State (7-5, 0-0 RPI 72-MAC); Northern Colorado (15-3, 4-1 RPI 77-Big Sky); Nevada (9-6, 2-1 RPI 49-WAC)
